一、引论
在2002年3月的政府工作报告中,朱róng@①基总理提出“我们必须尽快为投融资体制的改革建立和实施相应的计划”。(注:见http://.cn/english/archiveen/27702.htm。)这一直接的陈述表明,二十多年的经济改革几乎还没有开始涉及到这些领域的主要问题。而本文将要指出是,投资体制有可能成为
人们普遍认识到
表2)。这些数据说明房屋的建设有很长的时滞,而将整幢大楼出售往往需要更长的时间。到1998年底在建房屋总面积合计达486百万m[2],而从1998年到2002年6月累计竣工和出售房屋总面积为682百万m[2],也就是前一数字的140%。假定1998年所有在建项目均被完成和出售,那么这些数据说明从1999年开始的工程到2002年6月仅有7.7%被建设完毕并出售。所以在
表2 商业用房的建设与销售
附图
注:数据从1998年开始,不计此前所有未完成项目的积压待付的订货。在建面积包括此前已竣工的房屋面积和现在正在建设中的面积。计算时假定没有中途被放弃的项目。
资料来源:monthly indicators no.1(2001):38;no.11(2001):34;no.7(2002):38。
5、无法归还的债务
闲置的工厂和“半拉子”工程无法挣得收入从而也无法向投资者或贷款者支付利润。失败的项目投资必然代表了一种重要的商业损失和坏帐的来源。在此我们并不争论
民族,消除贫困和其他政治因素,然后再考虑收益率”(zhou wangjun,2002)。
在投入国家发展基金时,
因而,“
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(原文为英文,由吴桂英翻译整理)
字库未存字注释:
@①原字左为金右为容